Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
frostnovae is down $141.54K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:04 PM UTC.
$9,137.66 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Mar 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | No | 49.51K | $0.791 | $39.36K | +$209.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No | buy | 11.68K | $0.718 | $8.39K | 1d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 11:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:04 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 11:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $55.09K and losing ones cost $1.05K across 46 settled positions. 93.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $19.11K on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $893.58 on “Will no CEO be announced in 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 63 markets. Its open positions are worth $39.36K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 37.83K |
| $0.813 |
| $30.77K |
| 1d ago |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 15.22K | $0.235 | $3.58K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 10.12K | $0.494 | $5K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 5.62K | $0.705 | $3.96K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 952.83K | $0.005 | $4.61K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 743.17K | $0.005 | $3.72K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 5.62K | $0.661 | $3.72K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 510.55K | $0.005 | $2.55K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 3.75K | $0.681 | $2.55K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 16.31K | $0.541 | $8.83K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 31.78K | $0.421 | $13.39K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 6.12K | $0.830 | $5.08K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 18.34K | $0.910 | $16.69K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 613.55 | $0.729 | $447.26 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 10.61K | $0.890 | $9.44K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 11.49K | $0.870 | $10K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 24.12K | $0.415 | $10K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 29.53K | $0.997 | $29.44K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 42.43K | $0.483 | $20.47K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 12.15K | $0.940 | $11.42K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 3.79K | $0.821 | $3.11K | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 19.06K | $0.301 | $5.74K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 27.41K | $0.730 | $20K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 29.53K | $0.871 | $25.74K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 11.19K | $0.893 | $10K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 8.33K | $0.600 | $5K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 9.92K | $0.252 | $2.5K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 23.55K | $0.999 | $23.53K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.579 | $676.22 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 37.9K | $0.533 | $20.2K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 48.23K | $0.622 | $30K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 8.76K | $0.571 | $5K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 13.53K | $0.739 | $10K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.84K | $0.560 | $6.07K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 23.84K | $0.839 | $20K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 15K | $0.667 | $10K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 12.82K | $0.999 | $12.81K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 5.85K | $0.901 | $5.27K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 13.51K | $0.740 | $10K | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 6.85K | $0.730 | $5K | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 15K | $0.667 | $10K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.01K | $0.831 | $5K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 6.12K | $0.818 | $5K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.83K | $0.857 | $5K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 11.4K | $0.877 | $10K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 35.51K | $0.282 | $10K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 19.63K | $0.509 | $10K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 6.83K | $0.513 | $3.5K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 14.99K | $0.667 | $10K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.