Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20.13 | +$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20.2 |
| $0.990 |
| $19.89 |
| -$0.11 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.05 | $0.995 | $9.99 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 50.05 |
| $0.999 |
| $50 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $10 in March?No | buy | 28.91 | $0.999 | $28.88 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in March?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will BNB reach $1100 in January?No | buy | 8.36 | $0.998 | $8.34 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 26.25 | $0.978 | $25.67 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 61.1 | $0.982 | $60 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 40.69 | $0.983 | $40 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 70.65 | $0.991 | $70 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 115.02 | $0.984 | $113.18 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 82.75 | $0.999 | $82.67 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 65.39 | $0.994 | $65 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 62.12 | $0.997 | $61.93 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 545.77 | $0.333 | $181.74 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 545.77 | $0.334 | $182.29 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 274.12 | $0.665 | $182.29 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 274.12 | $0.666 | $182.56 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 548.24 | $0.333 | $182.56 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 548.24 | $0.334 | $183.11 | Oct 29, 2024 |