Latest trade
Sep 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:30 AM UTC.
Analytics
Dismal-Cotton is down $1.33 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:30 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 32 trades covered 32 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Mar 3, 2026 UTC to Sep 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 7.54 | $0.930 | $7.35 | +$0.34 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.770 | $2.59 | 25d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 07:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
32 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 07:30 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $6.78 and losing ones cost $3 across 21 settled positions. 85.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.1 on “Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1 on “Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Sep 2026. It has traded 32 markets. Its open positions are worth $19.27 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.36 |
| $0.770 |
| $2.98 |
| +$0.39 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 2.61 |
| $0.913 |
| $2.38 |
| Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.930 | $7.01 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.897 | $1.37 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 88.81 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 27.94 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 14.1 | $0.709 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.