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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 129.21 | $0.774 | $94.97 | -$5.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | buy | 70 | $0.537 | $37.58 | 23h ago |
 |
| No |
| 78.26 |
| $0.894 |
| $71.61 |
| +$1.62 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 66.93 | $0.721 | $53.21 | +$4.96 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 53.19 | $0.824 | $45.74 | +$1.9 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 63.49 | $0.630 | $39.68 | -$0.32 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | No | 70 | $0.537 | $37.03 | -$0.55 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 32.25 | $0.930 | $31.04 | +$1.05 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.63 | +$0.63 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.450 | $3.94 | -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 63.49 |
| $0.630 |
| $40 |
| 1d ago |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?No | sell | 51.72 | $0.760 | $39.31 | 1d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 97.64 | $0.018 | $1.78 | 2d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 10 | $0.131 | $1.31 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | sell | 120.48 | $0.470 | $56.63 | 2d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | 3d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.963 | $104.63 | 3d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 53.33 | $0.900 | $48 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.69 | $0.919 | $99.89 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 89.74 | $0.780 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 107.64 | $0.928 | $99.89 | 5d ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | 7d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 32.25 | $0.930 | $29.99 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 27.77 | $0.900 | $24.99 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.900 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 12d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 14d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 15d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 17d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.950 | $5.59 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.470 | $2.44 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.480 | $2.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 8.18 | $0.800 | $6.54 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.920 | $6.38 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 15.82 | $0.710 | $11.23 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.530 | $2.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.383 | $4.79 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.986 | $6.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.600 | $3.85 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 18.98 | $0.720 | $13.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.567 | $4.97 | Apr 11, 2026 |