Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 32 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
The high was 48.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the low 16% on 16 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 27%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 16% on 16 Sep 2026.
$461.38 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.95K since listing. The order book holds $10.89K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $55.61 bought Yes and $1.31K bought No.
The largest Yes position is supersmard with 972 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 1K. Ten wallets hold 94.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 3:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 15 Sep 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| willsom | No | 1K |
| supersmard | Yes | 972 |
| FrozenUSDC | No | 310.38 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/saxony-anhalt-snap-election-called-in-2026
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 151.85 |
| annacallsit | No | 130 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| POB-T | Yes | 76.92 |
| ssink | Yes | 60 |
| Antony82 | No | 50 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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