Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.871 | $996.3 | -$61.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 92.48 |
| $0.840 |
| $79.07 |
| +$1.39 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 75 | $0.780 | $58.13 | -$0.38 |
 Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 48.81 | $0.858 | $42.29 | +$0.41 |
 Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $41 | -$3 |
 Will Grüne win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 50 | $0.790 | $40.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.873 | $39.4 | -$4.25 |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 50 | $0.830 | $38 | -$3.5 |
 Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | No | 54.11 | $0.752 | $37.88 | -$2.85 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.200 | $37 | -$3 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | No | 45.84 | $0.790 | $36.67 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 48.03 | $0.731 | $32.9 | -$2.2 |
 Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 40 | $0.911 | $30.68 | -$5.76 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 40 | $0.784 | $27.48 | -$3.88 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? | No | 42.17 | $0.725 | $23.83 | -$6.73 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.48 | $0.816 | $23.29 | -$0.78 |
 Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | Yes | 73.84 | $0.232 | $21.78 | +$4.65 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.8 | $0.760 | $20.12 | +$0.52 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 138.72 | $0.176 | $19.42 | -$5.05 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.954 | $19.1 | +$0.02 |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.220 | $18.75 | +$0.42 |
 Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? | Yes | 86.95 | $0.170 | $18.69 | +$3.91 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | No | 26.14 | $0.740 | $18.69 | -$0.65 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 148.13 | $0.120 | $18.52 | +$0.74 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | No | 26.14 | $0.740 | $18.43 | -$0.91 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.800 |
| $40 |
| 1d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 24.83 | $0.960 | $23.84 | 1d ago |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.941 | $28.23 | 1d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | sell | 51.3 | $0.890 | $45.66 | 1d ago |
 Will Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.057 | $7.31 | 2d ago |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.895 | $4.48 | 2d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 81.2 | $0.985 | $79.98 | 2d ago |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.935 | $70.12 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.830 | $62.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 75 | $0.957 | $71.77 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.892 | $26.76 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.912 | $27.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.939 | $70.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 431.4 | $0.580 | $250.21 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 7?No | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on August 5?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No | sell | 19.45 | $0.200 | $3.89 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.596 | $2.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.580 | $2.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.730 | $2.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Team Falcons win 1win Essence II?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.600 | $2.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?Yes | sell | 5.67 | $0.530 | $3.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.977 | $2.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.880 | $2.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 4 | $0.590 | $2.36 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August?Yes | sell | 18.69 | $0.250 | $4.67 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.120 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.830 | $2.77 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.630 | $7.88 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.640 | $8.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.890 | $0.56 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.840 | $8.65 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?Yes | sell | 114.69 | $0.044 | $5.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of August 3 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 4?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.232 | $9.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 110.35 | $0.110 | $12.14 | Aug 3, 2026 |