Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 6.4 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%.
$202.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.29K since listing. The order book holds $11.69K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 103 trades, $177.7 bought Yes and $3.89K bought No; the largest was a $2.73K buy of No at 95.4¢.
The largest Yes position is youtube-trader with 680 shares; the largest No position is M2sx92kljs42 with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 2.69K |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 679.93 |
| Wowiwow | No | 611.71 |
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain. The co-pilot was taken into custody in Saudi Arabia (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the referenced co-pilot is transported to Israeli custody within the territory of Israel between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The co-pilot must actually enter Israeli territory for this market to resolve to “Yes.” Announcements or statements of intent will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia and Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/flydubai-co-pilot-transferred-to-israel-by-octpt-31
| Kati.shi |
| Yes |
| 581.19 |
| Ringed-Gambling | Yes | 449.84 |
| Perypery | Yes | 426.35 |
| Ironclad-Clipboard | Yes | 217.96 |
| Porx | No | 209.8 |
| Damp-Netball | Yes | 200 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 193.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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