Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.29 |
| $0.996 |
| $1.28 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.998 | $1.37 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.953 | $1.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 5, 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.971 | $1.09 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionYes | buy | 1.49 | $0.910 | $1.36 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 6.73 | $0.998 | $6.72 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.930 | $1.37 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.983 | $1.27 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.870 | $1.04 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.998 | $6.72 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.880 | $1.34 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.988 | $1.28 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.772 | $1.32 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.842 | $1.44 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.739 | $11.29 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.996 | $1.06 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.10 before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.850 | $1.08 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.820 | $1.94 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.380 | $1.37 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.410 | $1.48 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.440 | $1.47 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Obama in jail in 2025?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.967 | $1.15 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.850 | $1.08 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.833 | $1.02 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.840 | $1.15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Obama in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.969 | $1.16 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 1.79 | $0.795 | $1.42 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will McLaren finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No | sell | 0.66 | $0.994 | $0.66 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.897 | $1.12 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.767 | $1.38 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.830 | $1.14 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will BB Team win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.880 | $1.12 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.995 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.960 | $1.26 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.900 | $1.24 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.989 | $1.28 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 8 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.860 | $1.09 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.810 | $1.47 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.998 | $1.22 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.885 | $1.09 | May 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.890 | $1.2 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.880 | $1.21 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.894 | $1.24 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will LeBron James join a new team this offseason?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.550 | $0.83 | May 24, 2025 |