Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 800K | $0.500 | $402K | +$2K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 440.97K | $0.997 | $439.64K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 800K |
| $0.500 |
| $398K |
| -$2K |
| buy |
| 300K |
| $0.997 |
| $299.1K |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.73K | $0.968 | $35.55K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Yes | buy | 7.67K | $0.993 | $7.61K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 86.4K | $0.992 | $85.71K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.992 | $1.53K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 113K | $0.992 | $112.09K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 300K | $0.999 | $299.7K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 42.81K | $0.968 | $41.44K | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 9.9K | $0.967 | $9.57K | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 34.92K | $0.945 | $33K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 432.53 | $0.970 | $419.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 197.51K | $0.996 | $196.72K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?No | buy | 103.17K | $0.999 | $103.07K | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 154.14K | $0.998 | $153.83K | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 106.42K | $0.989 | $105.25K | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.998 | $2.5K | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.990 | $2.32K | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 63.56K | $0.998 | $63.43K | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 31.4K | $0.990 | $31.09K | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 41.49K | $0.994 | $41.25K | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.05K | $0.992 | $9.97K | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes | buy | 23.17K | $0.996 | $23.07K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.200 | $18 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?No | buy | 120.17 | $0.790 | $94.93 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 26.8K | $0.999 | $26.78K | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.995 | $3.18K | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next video?No | buy | 3K | $0.970 | $2.91K | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next video?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.800 | $827.65 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next video?No | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No | buy | 14.75 | $0.999 | $14.74 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 9.76K | $0.770 | $7.51K | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No | buy | 55.56K | $0.999 | $55.5K | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 984.57 | $0.700 | $689.2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 2.44K | $0.320 | $779.5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | Sep 9, 2025 |