Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Settled

Sep 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 25 Sep 2025, the highest close was 62.5% on 18 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 0.4% on 19 Sep 2025. $1.39M traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 12:45 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 25 Sep 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
V.jay	Yes	142.67K
nbabii	Yes	38.66K
orbita	Yes	23.57K
farhad86	Yes	21.06K

10 of 44 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Bilateral Meeting and Press Conference with the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Keir Starmer on Thursday, September 18, 2025. (see: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the named, scheduled bilateral and press conference events with the UK Prime Minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.