Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.96K | $0.510 | $735.29 | -$264.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 27.69 | $0.390 | $10.8 | 14h ago |
|
| No |
| 395.83 |
| $0.917 |
| $391.67 |
| +$28.69 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 505.38 | $0.643 | $366.4 | +$41.4 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 179 | $0.929 | $154.84 | -$11.53 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 249.69 | $0.801 | $102.37 | -$97.63 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 251.54 | $0.340 | $85.52 | +$0.05 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | No | 249.98 | $0.120 | $20 | -$10 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.99 | $0.709 | $7.87 | -$7 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.720 | $3.73 | +$0.13 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 0.69 | $0.493 | $0.66 | +$0.32 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | No | 0.37 | $0.423 | $0.37 | +$0.21 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 0.25 | $0.453 | $0.01 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 27.69 |
| $0.650 |
| $17.99 |
| 18h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.934 | $983.66 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 313.04 | $0.910 | $284.76 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 32.1 | $0.820 | $26.32 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 94.87 | $0.477 | $45.28 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 388.37 | $0.423 | $164.21 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 205 | $0.920 | $188.6 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 56 | $0.038 | $2.1 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 526 | $0.060 | $31.56 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.455 | $239.31 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 209.99 | $0.450 | $94.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 205.69 | $0.493 | $101.45 | 5d ago |
| Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?No | buy | 395.83 | $0.917 | $362.99 | 7d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 173.94 | $0.929 | $161.65 | 8d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 226.54 | $0.339 | $76.73 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.024 | $1.03 | 8d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 802 | $0.002 | $1.6 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.510 | $1K | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 276.71 | $0.909 | $251.59 | 13d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.021 | $8.4 | 13d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.021 | $8.42 | 13d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.065 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 16d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 16d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 17d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 247 | $0.800 | $197.64 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.794 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.750 | $4.87 | 26d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | sell | 123.07 | $0.512 | $63 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.550 | $18.15 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 48.97 | $0.626 | $30.66 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.07 | $0.650 | $16.95 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.08 | $0.600 | $15.65 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 164.69 | $0.562 | $92.53 | 27d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 320.58 | $0.491 | $157.28 | 27d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.424 | $426.12 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.412 | $414.06 | 29d ago |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.100 | $19.91 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 374.8 | $0.983 | $368.54 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 232.5 | $0.100 | $23.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 465 | $0.220 | $102.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |