Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.400 | $0.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.888 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.021 |
| $0.5 |
| -$0.55 |
| buy |
| 5.32 |
| $0.940 |
| $5 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.460 | $12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18.51 | $0.450 | $8.33 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.965 | $8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 12.28 | $0.570 | $7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.505 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.745 | $7.45 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.127 | $1.27 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump before July?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.015 | $0.45 | May 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 29.67 | $0.160 | $4.75 | May 17, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.067 | $2.01 | May 17, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | May 4, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 396.57 | $0.100 | $39.66 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 905.27 | $0.111 | $100.2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.390 | $8.58 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.590 | $7.67 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.390 | $4.68 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Feb 3, 2025 |