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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 238.95 | $0.446 | $197.13 | +$90.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.838 |
| $166 |
| -$1.6 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | No | 262.45 | $0.636 | $164.03 | -$2.8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9? | No | 155.83 | $0.870 | $155.75 | +$20.25 |
 Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 155 | $0.969 | $154.07 | +$3.85 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 153.3 | $0.938 | $152.61 | +$8.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 212.33 | $0.597 | $139.08 | +$12.29 |
 Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 168.64 | $0.876 | $137.44 | -$10.25 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 159.88 | $0.735 | $131.1 | +$13.6 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 181.13 | $0.645 | $126.79 | +$9.87 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 175.91 | $0.610 | $125.78 | +$18.5 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135.44 | $0.394 | $125.28 | +$71.95 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 9? | No | 123.74 | $0.687 | $123.68 | +$38.66 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10? | No | 142.25 | $0.811 | $121.62 | +$6.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 10? | No | 135.76 | $0.857 | $117.44 | +$1.15 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 240 | $0.020 | $110.16 | +$105.26 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? | No | 136.7 | $0.828 | $104.58 | -$8.68 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 146.9 | $0.707 | $103.56 | -$0.31 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 161.32 | $0.445 | $103.24 | +$31.44 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 126.99 | $0.775 | $102.23 | +$3.77 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 110.1 | $0.766 | $94.14 | +$9.76 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 10? | No | 141.89 | $0.615 | $92.23 | +$4.9 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | No | 109 | $0.479 | $92 | +$39.79 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 100 | $0.909 | $91.7 | +$0.8 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 240 | $0.020 | $90.48 | +$85.58 |
| buy |
| 16 |
| $0.900 |
| $14.4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.668 | $6.48 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Wesley So Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.680 | $27.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 27?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.840 | $11.52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on July 25?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.730 | $4.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.770 | $12.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?No | buy | 24.94 | $0.730 | $18.21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?No | buy | 19.54 | $0.770 | $15.05 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?No | buy | 37.37 | $0.780 | $29.15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on July 11?No | buy | 8.43 | $0.889 | $7.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.910 | $5.81 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 28?No | buy | 23.03 | $0.740 | $17.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.950 | $27.66 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.855 | $17.1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?No | buy | 40 | $0.698 | $27.92 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 24?Yes | buy | 18.95 | $0.170 | $3.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 22?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.560 | $6.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?No | buy | 36.9 | $0.640 | $23.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?No | buy | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No | buy | 15 | $0.880 | $13.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.900 | $3.01 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.970 | $38.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No | buy | 19 | $0.600 | $11.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?No | buy | 11 | $0.750 | $8.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.900 | $9.99 | May 31, 2026 |