Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.390 | $1.43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.5 |
| $0.330 |
| $0.83 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.850 | $1.37 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the Bucharest mayoral election?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.851 | $1.36 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will another candidate win the Bucharest mayoral election?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.910 | $1.46 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.830 | $4.31 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.880 | $4.57 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.924 | $1.52 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.850 | $1.34 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.957 | $1.18 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.979 | $1.21 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.970 | $1.16 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 11?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.993 | $1.78 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.996 | $1.4 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.960 | $1.16 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.969 | $1.21 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.820 | $1.24 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.830 | $1.26 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.890 | $1.47 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the AFC West?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.955 | $1.14 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the AFC West?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.971 | $1.16 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.12 | $0.150 | $0.62 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.955 | $1.2 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.885 | $1.42 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.900 | $1.17 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.860 | $0.98 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.360 | $1.11 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.994 | $2.53 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.460 | $0.77 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.330 | $1.36 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 UFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.800 | $1.2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.900 | $1.02 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.430 | $0.96 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.500 | $1.12 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.410 | $1.26 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.606 | $0.78 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.985 | $1.48 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.996 | $0.14 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Leon Draisaitl score a goal in Game 6?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.900 | $1.36 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Tre Johnson be the fifth pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.510 | $0.55 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.816 | $1.05 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.995 | $0.63 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Tre Johnson be the fifth pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.990 | $1.06 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.810 | $1.83 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.840 | $1.44 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.940 | $0.24 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Aleksander Barkov score the most total goals in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.960 | $1.1 | May 30, 2025 |