Analytics
mazw8 is down $2.61K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 20.77K | $0.768 | $19.11K | +$3.16K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 06:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
35 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 06:40 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 06:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $17.66K and losing ones cost $5.75K across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.35K on “Will Trump visit China by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $2.31K on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?” (Down).
It has traded 802 markets. Its open positions are worth $64.31K across 35 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 11.6K |
| $0.847 |
| $11.11K |
| +$1.28K |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 9K | $0.903 | $8.64K | +$514.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 7.53K | $0.797 | $6.84K | +$827.89 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 4.79K | $0.839 | $4.62K | +$603.18 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.3K | $0.847 | $2.22K | +$277.87 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.819 | $1.64K | +$246.8 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.45K | $0.795 | $1.2K | +$50.79 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.903 | $1.19K | +$15.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.496 | $1.05K | +$378.96 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.806 | $1.04K | -$406.28 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 1K | $0.933 | $980 | +$46.6 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.466 | $732.61 | +$182.4 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 647.18 | $0.676 | $622.26 | +$184.68 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.830 | $567 | +$69 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | No | 422.2 | $0.549 | $406.16 | +$174.54 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 397.88 | $0.785 | $389.13 | +$76.82 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 464.55 | $0.664 | $357.7 | +$49.2 |
| US recession by end of 2027? | No | 479.99 | $0.646 | $311.99 | +$1.8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.870 | $293.25 | +$32.25 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.826 | $280.5 | +$32.63 |
 Will Shanghai Port win the 2026-27 AFC Champions League Elite? | No | 220 | $0.921 | $219.56 | +$16.96 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $158 | -$2 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $99.85 | +$16.85 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $95.45 | +$5.45 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.
