Analytics
fElon has made $9.99K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 19.95K | $0.272 | $4.29K | -$1.14K |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$156.56K | $572.1K | 12,759 | 475 | 49.1% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | sell | 60 | $0.200 | $12 | 2h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 13:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.22K and losing ones cost $17.78K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.98K on “Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.08K on “Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” (No).
It has traded 605 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($572.1K). Its open positions are worth $15.51K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.69K |
| $0.803 |
| $2.82K |
| -$140.07 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.880 | $2.74K | +$289.07 |
| Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.530 | $872.1 | +$322.23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 800 | $0.800 | $636 | -$4 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 572.48 | $0.903 | $532.98 | +$16.18 |
 Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | No | 649.6 | $0.865 | $509.94 | -$51.79 |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 504.33 | $0.878 | $479.11 | +$36.14 |
| Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 452.44 | $0.886 | $441.13 | +$40.33 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.705 | $378 | +$96 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 388.98 | $0.780 | $369.73 | +$66.35 |
| Kash Patel out by October 31? | No | 345.75 | $0.916 | $339.01 | +$22.29 |
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 785.41 | $0.356 | $318.09 | +$38.47 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 694.16 | $0.424 | $232.54 | -$61.54 |
| Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 356.64 | $0.501 | $221.12 | +$42.41 |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 670 | $0.405 | $144.05 | -$127.55 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.457 | $132 | -$5 |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | No | 75 | $0.238 | $33.9 | +$16.03 |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 103.27 | $0.423 | $9.81 | -$33.89 |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.26 | $0.940 | $9.46 | -$6.76 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
