Latest trade
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
Gullible-Ceramic is down $6.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:36 AM UTC.
$2.01 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Jun 25, 2026 UTC to Sep 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 156.57 | $0.840 | $146.39 | +$14.9 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.730 | $2.7 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-07 07:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 06:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 06:36 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-07 07:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.14 and losing ones cost $10.49 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.72 on “Israel election: will Likud lose seats?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.34 on “Israel closes its airspace by June 15?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Sep 2026. It has traded 144 markets. Its open positions are worth $152.81 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 8.18 |
| $0.697 |
| $6.42 |
| +$0.72 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.840 |
| $60 |
| Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 16.81 | $0.850 | $14.29 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | sell | 15.93 | $0.900 | $14.34 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.910 | $3.13 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 17.57 | $0.816 | $14.33 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | sell | 15.92 | $0.910 | $14.49 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 12.91 | $0.820 | $10.59 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | sell | 11.77 | $0.910 | $10.71 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.830 | $13.39 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | sell | 14.53 | $0.930 | $13.51 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 21.71 | $0.870 | $18.89 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | sell | 20.42 | $0.930 | $18.99 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.700 | $1.04 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.961 | $2.02 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.790 | $2.1 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.910 | $2.07 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.850 | $2.25 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.960 | $2.08 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.920 | $3.16 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.830 | $1.8 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.36 | $0.980 | $3.29 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.999 | $2.29 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.958 | $1.98 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.965 | $1.99 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.976 | $1.02 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Türkiye vs. United States: Neither team to score first?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.947 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: Neither team to score first?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.999 | $2.17 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.