Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 169 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2025 to 27 Jun 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33.6% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 4.7% on 26 Mar 2026. $262.8K traded over the market's life.
172 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 169 points, 7 Dec 2025 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | 7.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 10.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.61K |
| halomango | Yes | 39.48K |
| overlooked | Yes | 3.19K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-group-g-winner
| Misty Voyager AE77 | Yes | 1.75K |
| defbank | Yes | 1.33K |
| aa992658181 | Yes | 1.16K |
| infinitychaser | Yes | 1.03K |
| Curvy-Privilege | Yes | 1K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1K |
| ak535 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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