Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 350 | $0.998 | $349.3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 10.87 |
| $0.920 |
| $10 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 355.86 | $0.999 | $355.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 361.22 | $0.998 | $360.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 364.14 | $0.999 | $363.78 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.001 | $2.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Andrew Tate go to the UK before April?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
Megaquake in March?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
Arrest in the Suchir Balaji case before April?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.937 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.960 | $1.07 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.997 | $1.03 | Feb 19, 2025 |
FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.956 | $1.02 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Manchester United wins the Premier League?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.995 | $1.02 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.004 | $2.4 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Solana hit $260 in December?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will Solana hit $270 in December?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Manchester United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 25, 2024 |