Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 78% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 98.7% on 29 Jun 2025 and the lowest 70% on 14 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 93% on 21 May 2025. $71.53K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 13 May 2025 – 5 Jul 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 78.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zoomer1 | No | 224 |
| topl | No | 191.73 |
| cashiusclay | No | 169.04 |
| Kokopilot | No | 50.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes on tips earned by workers in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax on tips remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income or type of worker, etc) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax on tips. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-taxes-on-tips-in-2025
| luggnutt | No | 45.67 |
| Dontmindme9 | No | 41.67 |
| jtarantulas | No | 33.33 |
| Linuxerino | No | 32.26 |
| Freemoney23 | No | 31.91 |
| Brambo99 | No | 25.38 |
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