Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:51 AM UTC.
Analytics
menelik is down $20.34K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:51 AM UTC.
$106.36 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Jun 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 377.99 | $0.831 | $329.8 | +$15.62 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 266 | $0.830 | $220.78 | 2d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-20 01:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-20 01:13 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.78K and losing ones cost $2.21K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $669.1 on “Thunder vs. Lakers” (Thunder); the largest loss, $353.4 on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 406 markets. Its open positions are worth $768.08 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.720 |
| $143 |
| -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.59 | $0.775 | $111.83 | +$23.83 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 120 | $0.930 | $109.8 | -$1.8 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.41 | $0.934 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 67.48 | $0.326 | $15.72 | -$6.28 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 115.79 | $0.190 | $11.98 | -$10.02 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 10.92 | $0.910 | $10.55 | +$0.62 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 130.68 | $0.765 | $3.72 | -$96.28 |
| buy |
| 111.99 |
| $0.834 |
| $93.4 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 120 | $0.930 | $111.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 7d ago |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?No | buy | 170 | $0.750 | $127.5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Charles Jourdain | buy | 172.59 | $0.579 | $100 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Robelis Despaigne | buy | 89.82 | $0.830 | $74.55 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Robelis Despaigne | buy | 500 | $0.790 | $395 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)Michael Aswell | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)JooSang Yoo | buy | 40 | $0.649 | $25.98 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Ryan Gandra | buy | 600 | $0.820 | $492 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Ryan Gandra | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Arman Tsarukyan | buy | 77 | $0.740 | $56.98 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Joel Álvarez | buy | 800 | $0.750 | $600 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgTheGrefg | buy | 422.54 | $0.710 | $300 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 155 | $0.890 | $137.95 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 46.04 | $0.890 | $40.98 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 46 | $0.890 | $40.94 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 83.61 | $0.890 | $74.41 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 11.8 | $0.890 | $10.5 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 5.55 | $0.890 | $4.94 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 15.06 | $0.900 | $13.55 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 20.91 | $0.900 | $18.82 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 12.02 | $0.900 | $10.82 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 47 | $0.900 | $42.3 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 905.37 | $0.900 | $814.62 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooPlex | buy | 52.46 | $0.890 | $46.69 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero AriasGero Arias | buy | 44 | $0.700 | $30.8 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 45.12 | $0.613 | $27.67 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.945 | $283.42 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 46.66 | $0.090 | $4.2 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 5K | $0.800 | $4K | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 734.66 | $0.800 | $587.73 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 401.36 | $0.820 | $329.12 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.910 | $101.11 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 50.84 | $0.320 | $16.28 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 1.11K | $0.800 | $888.8 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 832.5 | $0.800 | $666 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 700 | $0.790 | $553 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 139.62 | $0.800 | $111.7 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 263 | $0.800 | $210.4 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.