Analytics
Resolved Arman Tsarukyan on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arman Tsarukyan at 72.5%. The Arman Tsarukyan side opened at 76% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 76% on 6 Sep 2026 and the low 72.5% on 20 Sep 2026. $1.07M traded over the market's life.
513 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 4:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arman Tsarukyan price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 6 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 68%–80%
| Observed | Arman Tsarukyan price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 76.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GEAEW | Mauricio Ruffy | 41.67K |
| beechained | Mauricio Ruffy | 14.77K |
| NXYD | Mauricio Ruffy | 7.67K |
| insomniacxbt | Mauricio Ruffy | 6.45K |
| omnibus-076daa | Mauricio Ruffy | 5.69K |
| Flowery-Self | Mauricio Ruffy | 5.19K |
| roscoff | Mauricio Ruffy | 5K |
| Obilic | Mauricio Ruffy | 4K |
| themmaguru | Mauricio Ruffy | 3.7K |
| Nice-Geometry | Mauricio Ruffy | 3.6K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Arman Tsarukyan" if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Mauricio Ruffy" if Mauricio Ruffy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-arm-mau4-2026-09-19
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
