Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 194.14 | $0.721 | $167.93 | +$27.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 154.32 |
| $0.810 |
| $149.15 |
| +$24.15 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 207.07 | $0.072 | $121.96 | +$106.96 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 78.57 | $0.764 | $72.68 | +$12.68 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 47.06 | $0.850 | $41.65 | +$1.65 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 57.14 | $0.700 | $41.14 | +$1.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 39.98 | $0.840 | $36.98 | +$3.4 |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? | No | 42.86 | $0.700 | $33.64 | +$3.64 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.640 | $31.17 | +$1.17 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 44.44 | $0.450 | $28.22 | +$8.22 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.750 | $26.33 | +$1.33 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25.59 | +$0.59 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.650 | $6.54 | -$18.46 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90 | $0.011 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.700 |
| $30 |
| 4d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.850 | $40 | 5d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.700 | $40 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | 5d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 207.07 | $0.072 | $15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?No | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.160 | $11.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.742 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.376 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.804 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 39.98 | $0.840 | $33.58 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 40.71 | $0.860 | $35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.47 | $0.968 | $45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?No | buy | 43.51 | $0.575 | $25 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 25.56 | $0.782 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.780 | $40 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 154.32 | $0.810 | $125 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 78.57 | $0.764 | $60 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.650 | $25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.018 | $0.87 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?Yes | buy | 42.75 | $0.468 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 543.95 | $0.028 | $15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down - November 17, 11PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 17, 11PM ETDown | buy | 26.1 | $0.766 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 1AM ETUp | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 34.56 | $0.896 | $30.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 34.56 | $0.868 | $30 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 32.47 | $0.770 | $25 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | buy | 27.98 | $0.603 | $16.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | sell | 68.49 | $0.780 | $53.42 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 56.31 | $0.799 | $45 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 30.74 | $0.940 | $28.9 | Jul 27, 2025 |