Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 16 points from 25% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
Across the 55 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 31.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?”.
$22.34K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.74K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 138 trades, $285.04 bought Yes and $9.69K bought No; the largest was a $7.94K buy of No at 98.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Emerald Scout EF69 with 544 shares; the largest No position is BigBang895 with 300. Ten wallets hold 82.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 10:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 544.28 |
| BigBang895 | No | 300 |
| Porx | No | 286.76 |
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by
| Faust12 |
| Yes |
| 230 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 221.83 |
| Lowriskbids | No | 200 |
| controls | No | 169.88 |
| nonkenny90 | No | 164 |
| runechiters | No | 100 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 71.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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