Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 700.7 | $0.999 | $700 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 438.98 |
| $0.574 |
| $252.17 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?Yes | sell | 384.68 | $0.981 | $377.37 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 399.98 | $0.780 | $311.98 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 3?No | sell | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?Yes | buy | 357.54 | $0.839 | $300 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.950 | $1.6K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.949 | $1.6K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 827.66 | $0.943 | $780.48 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.972 | $100 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?No | sell | 14.63 | $0.798 | $11.67 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 441.05 | $0.760 | $334.99 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No | sell | 463.28 | $0.998 | $462.35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 136.66 | $0.055 | $7.54 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No | buy | 154.64 | $0.970 | $150 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 300 | $0.510 | $153 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.972 | $300 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?Down | buy | 29.98 | $0.500 | $14.99 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.32 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times at the Congressional Ball on December 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 63.34 | $0.060 | $3.82 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.894 | $178.78 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.962 | $96.16 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 463.8 | $0.679 | $314.72 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.290 | $116 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?No | sell | 120 | $0.010 | $1.18 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.822 | $82.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 510.2 | $0.980 | $500 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Brentford win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | sell | 120 | $0.867 | $104 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | sell | 520 | $0.058 | $30.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Skedaddle" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 112.61 | $0.888 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 141.06 | $0.709 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 112.61 | $0.888 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |