Latest trade
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 6:33 AM UTC.
Analytics
longguhao is down $233.06 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 6:33 AM UTC.
$49.94 median trade
Its latest 146 trades covered 83 markets; 63.0% were buys. They run from Nov 23, 2025 UTC to Oct 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.5K | $0.004 | $36.75 | -$5.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.130 | $14.3 | 15d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 03:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 06:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
146 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 06:33 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 02:57 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $64.55 and losing ones cost $164.95 across the latest 50 settled positions. 24% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.2 on “Wild vs. Red Wings” (Wild); the largest loss, $64.54 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” (No).
It first traded on 23 Nov 2025 and most recently on 1 Oct 2026. It has traded 85 markets. Its open positions are worth $36.75 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 35.56 |
| $0.987 |
| $35.1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 35.57 | $0.984 | $35 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.53 | $0.985 | $35 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 31.28 | $0.991 | $31 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 31.28 | $0.991 | $31 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 115 | $0.020 | $2.3 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 111.47 | $0.031 | $3.46 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 4.5K | $0.010 | $46.34 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.44K | $0.010 | $54.4 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 262.36 | $0.990 | $259.74 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 262.36 | $0.991 | $260 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 480 | $0.720 | $345.6 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 15.46 | $0.971 | $15.01 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 13.21 | $0.983 | $12.99 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 18.21 | $0.987 | $17.97 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.988 | $18 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.984 | $13 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 15.13 | $0.990 | $14.98 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 16.21 | $0.988 | $16.02 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 17.32 | $0.983 | $17.03 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.991 | $15 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 16.21 | $0.987 | $16 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 17.33 | $0.981 | $17 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 111.48 | $0.610 | $68 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.97K | $0.007 | $55.78 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 62.69 | $0.987 | $61.88 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 62.69 | $0.989 | $62 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 199.79 | $0.990 | $197.79 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 339.06 | $0.987 | $334.65 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 199.8 | $0.991 | $198 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 339.07 | $0.988 | $335 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 155.66 | $0.989 | $153.95 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 384.22 | $0.988 | $379.61 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 165.66 | $0.990 | $164 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 384.23 | $0.989 | $380 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 166.16 | $0.992 | $164.83 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 382.29 | $0.993 | $379.61 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 166.16 | $0.993 | $165 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 382.29 | $0.994 | $380 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 177.59 | $0.990 | $175.81 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 372.61 | $0.992 | $369.63 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 177.6 | $0.991 | $176 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 372.61 | $0.993 | $370 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 176.23 | $0.992 | $174.82 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 372.6 | $0.992 | $369.62 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 176.23 | $0.993 | $175 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 372.61 | $0.993 | $370 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.