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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.990 | $5.78 | Jan 24, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 4.21 |
| $0.998 |
| $4.2 |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Ethena crash in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Ethena crash in 2024?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will Kraken IPO in 2024?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.847 | $0.87 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.991 | $1.03 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.910 | $1.08 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.760 | $1.09 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Nov 30, 2024 |
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.995 | $1.03 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.996 | $1.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.986 | $1.08 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 1.06 | $0.985 | $1.04 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 16, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.04 | $0.995 | $1.03 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.985 | $1.07 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 1.03 | $0.997 | $1.03 | Nov 10, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 1.04 | $0.980 | $1.02 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.996 | $1.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.994 | $1.04 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No | buy | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.988 | $1.09 | Nov 6, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.09 | $0.984 | $1.07 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 1.05 | $0.960 | $1.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?Trump | buy | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | Oct 22, 2024 |
Donald Trump Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.740 | $0.02 | Oct 22, 2024 |
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.280 | $0.01 | Oct 22, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.600 | $0.02 | Oct 22, 2024 |
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.975 | $0.01 | Oct 14, 2024 |
Hoffman vs. WarwickWarwick | buy | 0.03 | $0.750 | $0.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.21K | $0.003 | $48.63 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.21K | $0.003 | $48.63 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.22K | $0.003 | $48.66 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.22K | $0.003 | $48.66 | Oct 6, 2024 |