Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.987 |
| $1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.822 | $1.74 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.972 | $2.1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.981 | $5.2 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.94 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 571.9 | $0.021 | $12.01 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.66 | $0.948 | $12 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.67 | $0.949 | $12.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.637 | $1.2K | Oct 26, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.991 | $4.99 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.988 | $6.98 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.638 | $1.21K | Oct 26, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.991 | $7 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70.88 | $0.296 | $20.98 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 70.89 | $0.282 | $19.99 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 105.91 | $0.860 | $91.08 | Sep 11, 2024 |