Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.8M

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 25.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $4.83M traded over the market's life.

616 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Alwayswinswtf	Yes	66.96K
Mightyfool	Yes	48.46K
goditwits	Yes	35.36K
cryptograph	Yes	35.32K

10 of 616 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between February 6 11AM ET and February 28 11:59PM ET, has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.