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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.49 |
| $0.920 |
| $3.21 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.997 | $20.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.130 | $1.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?No | buy | 19.54 | $0.998 | $19.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.999 | $3.6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.999 | $2.1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.999 | $12.23 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.984 | $2.5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.966 | $3.9 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.999 | $11.41 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.971 | $3.4 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.998 | $2.2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Orioles vs. YankeesOrioles | buy | 25.5 | $0.400 | $10.2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.974 | $4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.670 | $3.7 | May 26, 2025 |
| Megaquake in May?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.970 | $4.7 | May 13, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.972 | $4.6 | May 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.983 | $2.2 | May 8, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by June 30?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.966 | $2.4 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.880 | $4.6 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.989 | $2.1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.998 | $2.6 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.003 | $21 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 90K | $0.003 | $270 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 10.7K | $0.003 | $32.1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.995 | $1.6 | Apr 18, 2025 |