Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 2.9% on 21 Feb 2025 and the low 0.1% on 29 Apr 2025. $425.3K traded over the market's life.
504 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 21 Feb 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 2.9% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 3.59K |
| gdm1 | Yes | 229 |
| stiwennd | Yes | 50 |
| Bright Orbit 3D77 | Yes | 19.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Dorsey publicly confirms he is Bitcoin creator "Satoshi Nakamoto", or part of a collective called "Satoshi Nakamoto", by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Announcements that are jokes, or otherwise aren't credible won't count. If Dorsey denies being Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto between February 20, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is public statements from Jack Dorsey.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jack-dorsey-confirm-he-is-satoshi-before-may
New to prediction markets?
| Amber Kestrel 8A71 | Yes | 19 |
| Coral Voyager BB77 | Yes | 19 |
| Coral Oracle A6FD | Yes | 18.97 |
| Crimson Kestrel 36F2 | Yes | 18 |
| Jade Pioneer 6CAF | Yes | 18 |
| Misty Maven 8937 | Yes | 17.98 |
