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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evo Morales arrested by September 30? | No | 3.32 | $0.980 | $1.87 | -$1.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evo Morales arrested by September 30?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.980 | $3.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.34 |
| $0.950 |
| $3.17 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.960 | $3.21 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.992 | $2.34 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.994 | $2.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.977 | $3.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.997 | $3.62 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.991 | $3.77 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.980 | $3.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.89 | $0.950 | $3.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.952 | $3.71 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.991 | $3.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.980 | $3.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.920 | $3.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo win the HLTV IGL of the Year awardNo | buy | 3.45 | $0.994 | $3.43 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Tech Release ParlayNo | buy | 3.43 | $0.994 | $3.41 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.989 | $3.38 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.988 | $3.38 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.988 | $3.38 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at $100-$105 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.992 | $3.35 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on November 14?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.990 | $3.32 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.967 | $3.32 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.994 | $3.41 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.875 | $2.98 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.994 | $2.97 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Lucy Powell win the UK Labour Party’s Deputy Leadership election?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.990 | $2.94 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $220 October 13-19?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.987 | $2.9 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.960 | $2.78 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Megaquake in February?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.969 | $2.7 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.975 | $3.45 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.960 | $7.82 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.975 | $7.04 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.995 | $5.46 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.998 | $3.71 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.978 | $2.03 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.994 | $3.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.990 | $2.64 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.991 | $1.28 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 21.8K | $0.001 | $21.8 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Yes | buy | 27K | $0.001 | $27 | Dec 15, 2024 |