Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 8.5% on 24 Sep 2025. $66.5K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 39.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.64K |
| Fuzzy-Logic | Yes | 1.04K |
| gsin | Yes | 857.14 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 740.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kenvue Inc. or one of its subsidiaries files a lawsuit against Donald Trump or the Trump administration related to statements, recommendations, or policies made about Tylenol/acetaminophen or its use between September 22 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be directly related to statements or policies made about Tylenol/acetaminophen to qualify. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tylenol-sues-trump-by-october-31
| Seearc1 | Yes | 707 |
| PlasticBottle | Yes | 444.42 |
| mattman69 | Yes | 268.42 |
| lissartter | Yes | 233.08 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 218.99 |
| Lunar Orbit F3D8 | Yes | 218.19 |
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