Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
etherealone is down $82.09 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 26 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 AM UTC.
$2.16 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Oct 14, 2025 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | Yes | 77.98 | $0.064 | $1.64 | -$3.36 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.9 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 10d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-26 09:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 11:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 11:46 UTC
polymarket positions
28 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-26 09:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $35.62 and losing ones cost $102.18 across 26 settled positions. 42.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.02 on “Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $54.47 on “Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.6 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 84.03 |
| $0.119 |
| $0.97 |
| -$9.03 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.300 |
| $3 |
| 14d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.390 | $2.02 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.119 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.98 | $0.064 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.119 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?Yes | sell | 11.25 | $0.180 | $2.03 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?Yes | buy | 11.25 | $0.156 | $1.75 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 42.04 | $0.999 | $42 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.003 | $7 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 42.04 | $0.999 | $42 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.021 | $0.3 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 22.62 | $0.840 | $19 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.810 | $18 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.290 | $4.5 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.270 | $4.5 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | sell | 61.36 | $0.019 | $1.17 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | sell | 243.63 | $0.019 | $4.63 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.018 | $5.49 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9AM ETDown | buy | 9 | $0.430 | $3.87 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 12AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 12AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 12AM ETUp | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?Down | buy | 8.47 | $0.070 | $0.59 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)Dplus KIA | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?Down | buy | 5.01 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?Down | buy | 5.01 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?Down | buy | 1.51 | $0.070 | $0.11 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.077 | $5.37 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.075 | $0.36 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.075 | $0.38 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.010 | $0.73 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.050 | $3.65 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 453.63 | $0.001 | $0.45 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 60.06 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 123.03 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 451.88 | $0.001 | $0.45 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 20.17 | $0.120 | $2.42 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.550 | $2.29 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.640 | $5.76 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.541 | $5.41 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.