Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4.32 | +$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | May 29, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 3.85 |
| $0.780 |
| $3.33 |
| +$0.33 |
| buy |
| 17.05 |
| $0.880 |
| $15 |
| May 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 30?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.959 | $12 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 30?No | buy | 12.46 | $0.963 | $12 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 53.55 | $0.991 | $53.07 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | May 16, 2026 |
 Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevJannik Sinner | buy | 4.37 | $0.915 | $4 | May 16, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.988 | $3.15 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.974 | $6.84 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 53.55 | $0.994 | $53.23 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.997 | $7.58 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars | buy | 10.54 | $0.947 | $9.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 57.38 | $0.994 | $57.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 57.39 | $0.996 | $57.16 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.84 | $0.960 | $3.69 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.957 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 33.58 | $0.983 | $33 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on September 23?No | buy | 26.38 | $0.999 | $26.35 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 23?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.988 | $5.78 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 23?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.995 | $11 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 13.3 | $0.752 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Young people don't die" this week? (September 15-21)No | buy | 3.75 | $0.920 | $3.45 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on September 20?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to Boston?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.935 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| buy | 4.23 | $0.946 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Egypt win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will India win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.996 | $3.3 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 22?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |