Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 37.5% on 5 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 17% on 6 Aug 2025. $8.3K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 8:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 20 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 37.5% |
| 20 Aug 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.07K |
| Kickstand7 | Yes | 383.76 |
| SkillzThatKillz | Yes | 211.55 |
| curtotoys | Yes | 122.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Governor Greg Abbott convened a special legislative session beginning July 21, 2025, limited to 30 calendar days and scheduled to end on August 19, 2025. House Bill 4, introduced during this session, proposes a new congressional district map for Texas’s 38 U.S. House seats. Critics contend the proposal constitutes partisan gerrymandering. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Texas House holds a floor vote on HB 4 before the special session ends on August 19, 2025, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Regardless of whether this session is extended, this market will resolve based on events occurring on or before August 19. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-texas-house-vote-on-hb-4-by-august-19
| lissartter | Yes | 60.63 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 12 |
| aggie2013 | Yes | 11.11 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 7.35 |
| Trading4Fridge | No | 0.03 |
| BUFI.vufi | No | 0.01 |
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