Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.450 |
| $15 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.931 | $11.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | sell | 18.51 | $0.921 | $17.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 18.52 | $0.810 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.992 | $14.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.995 | $11.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.07 | $0.990 | $48.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.310 | $7 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.420 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.250 | $6.62 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 264.66 | $0.025 | $6.62 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 139.67 | $0.120 | $16.76 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.967 | $11.63 | Dec 10, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.680 | $8.42 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Sep 19, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.42 | $0.920 | $21.55 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | buy | 21.55 | $0.690 | $14.87 | Jul 19, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.87 | $0.860 | $12.79 | May 9, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | May 9, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.740 | $20.56 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 24.36 | $0.768 | $18.71 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 34.09 | $0.060 | $2.05 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.700 | $5.61 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Florida vs. AuburnFlorida | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | sell | 18.01 | $0.410 | $7.38 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 18.01 | $0.730 | $13.15 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.830 | $5.89 | Mar 7, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.722 | $5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 7.99 | $0.626 | $5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.722 | $5 | Mar 7, 2025 |