Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 14, 11:44 PM UTC.
Analytics
elcesianomejorado has made $72.13 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 14, 11:44 PM UTC.
$9.9 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 299 markets; 91.5% were buys. They run from May 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.518 | $4.95 | +$1.06 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 1d ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 20:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-14 23:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-14 23:44 UTC
polymarket profile
341 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $14.08 and losing ones cost $110.29 across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.82 on “Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes); the largest loss, $49.4 on “Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?” (No).
It first traded on 26 Oct 2025 and most recently on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 1,237 markets. Its open positions are worth $13.81 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 11.1 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.83 |
| +$0.28 |
 Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31? | No | 6.67 | $0.300 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.530 | $1.64 | +$0.05 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
 Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.28 | -$0.72 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 2.62 | $0.240 | $0.59 | -$0.04 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 7.2 | $0.140 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?Yes| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.110 |
| $2.2 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Estudiantes (RC) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Yes | buy | 7.76 | $0.970 | $7.53 | 3d ago |
| Will Estudiantes (RC) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Yes | buy | 10.21 | $0.970 | $9.9 | 3d ago |
 Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.999 | $5.09 | 4d ago |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.998 | $3.92 | 4d ago |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | 6d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.480 | $1.44 | 6d ago |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | 6d ago |
 World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.990 | $15.52 | 7d ago |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | sell | 11.31 | $0.060 | $0.68 | 7d ago |
 Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 7d ago |
| Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Messi's sons join him on the pitch?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | 8d ago |
| Will Messi's sons join him on the pitch?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.960 | $14.39 | 8d ago |
| Will Messi's sons join him on the pitch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 8d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 9d ago |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 9d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | 9d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.150 | $1.8 | 9d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.999 | $10.1 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.014 | $0.08 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?No | buy | 8.44 | $0.999 | $8.43 | 18d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Verstappen?Verstappen | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | 18d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?Leclerc | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | 18d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Verstappen?Verstappen | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | 18d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Russell?Russell | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | 18d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?Piastri | buy | 32.67 | $0.990 | $32.34 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?Piastri | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.270 | $1.45 | 20d ago |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | 21d ago |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 11.31 | $0.090 | $1.02 | 22d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.140 | $1.55 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.300 | $1.58 | 22d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | sell | 4.34 | $0.340 | $1.48 | 23d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.613 | $2.27 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 16 | $0.990 | $15.84 | 25d ago |
| Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 25d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.