Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 16 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
The high was 29.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the low 5.5% on 3 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 5.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
$2.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $301.57, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $106.03 bought Yes and $462.86 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 680 shares; the largest No position is jimmer-fredette with 863. Ten wallets hold 98% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 99 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 7:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 29.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jimmer-fredette | No | 863.2 |
| AJSV | Yes | 680.29 |
| usurper55 | No | 223.38 |
The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Holland receives an Oscar nomination during the official nominations announcement, expected on January 21, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the nominations are partially announced by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to whether Tom Holland has been nominated up until that point. If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and the Oscars; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tom-holland-receive-an-oscar-nomination
| linnuz |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| HONESTHIPPO | Yes | 71.43 |
| doil | Yes | 70.83 |
| LeChatonFat | No | 62.57 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 60 |
| Stimulating-Milepost | Yes | 30 |
| XaviDH | Yes | 11.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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