Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 14 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 5 Apr 2026.
Across the 184 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 5.3%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 13.1% on 27 Sep 2026.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.32K since listing. The order book holds $875.64, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.39K bought Yes and $6.61K bought No; the largest was a $1.29K sell of No at 89.8¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 1K shares; the largest No position is Idealistic-Mayonnaise with 988. Ten wallets hold 57% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 184 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 16.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.03K |
| Idealistic-Mayonnaise | No | 988 |
| gmeowcl | No | 848.68 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen officially announces his retirement from Formula 1 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Max Verstappen is retiring from Formula 1 racing. The announcement must come from Max Verstappen himself or his official representatives. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next season following the announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Max Verstappen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-max-verstappen-retire-from-f1-in-2026
| DontTrustMe |
| No |
| 601.69 |
| Bobic | No | 588 |
| Perypery | Yes | 522.64 |
| 696969696969696969 | Yes | 389.92 |
| TheBigYes | Yes | 254.56 |
| MtnMark | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Scout DF5C | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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