Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:07 PM UTC.
Analytics
tonkawa is down $79.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:07 PM UTC.
$17.7 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Apr 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $47.75 | +$0.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 01:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 22:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 22:07 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 01:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $213.27 and losing ones cost $139.37 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $43.1 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $24 on “Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 141 markets. Its open positions are worth $217.56 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.890 |
| $44.25 |
| -$0.25 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.959 | $38 | -$0.34 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.83 | +$1.04 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.963 | $19.69 | +$0.43 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.946 | $18.88 | -$0.04 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $18.3 | +$1.5 |
 Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.64 | +$1.04 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.051 | $0.5 | -$2.05 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.076 | $0.4 | -$7.2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50 | $0.096 | $0.33 | -$4.48 |
| sell |
| 49.99 |
| $0.954 |
| $47.69 |
| 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 6?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6?No | buy | 40 | $0.891 | $35.64 | 21d ago |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.890 | $4.95 | 26d ago |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.890 | $39.55 | 26d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | 27d ago |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.946 | $18.92 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.936 | $18.72 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.936 | $28.08 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.138 | $6.9 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No | buy | 20 | $0.965 | $19.3 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 0.89 | $0.969 | $0.86 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.969 | $15.5 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.969 | $1.03 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.969 | $1.99 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.972 | $13.03 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.972 | $2.34 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.972 | $4.06 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.960 | $0.25 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.960 | $18.95 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?Yes | buy | 43.66 | $0.120 | $5.24 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.2 | $0.920 | $26.86 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.920 | $9.94 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | buy | 19.35 | $0.957 | $18.52 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | buy | 0.65 | $0.957 | $0.62 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.