Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.936 | $48.63 | +$1.83 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.936 | $28.08 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.940 |
| $46.75 |
| -$0.25 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.580 | $46.25 | +$17.25 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.963 | $19.31 | +$0.05 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.955 | $19.22 | +$0.12 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $17.7 | +$0.9 |
 Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.55 | +$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.051 | $1.37 | -$1.17 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50 | $0.096 | $1.18 | -$3.63 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.076 | $0.3 | -$7.3 |
| buy |
| 23.53 |
| $0.850 |
| $20 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?Yes | buy | 43.66 | $0.120 | $5.24 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.118 | $40 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.155 | $6.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.927 | $9.27 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 41.32 | $0.968 | $40 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.942 | $18.84 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?No | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.045 | $1.13 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.154 | $3.08 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | May 15, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.002 | $3.67 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?No | buy | 50 | $0.057 | $2.84 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Pershing Square IPO in 2024?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.971 | $3.11 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Pershing Square IPO in 2024?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.780 | $2.5 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 294.92 | $0.014 | $4 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.196 | $4 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?Yes | buy | 27.69 | $0.160 | $4.43 | May 17, 2024 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 17, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on May 17?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.370 | $5.37 | May 14, 2024 |
 Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.470 | $2.5 | May 14, 2024 |
 Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 14, 2024 |
| Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.530 | $8.83 | May 14, 2024 |
| Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 27, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 27, 2024 |
 Will the $SAFE market cap be greater than $5b one week after launch?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Feb 21, 2024 |