Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 11.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $40.91K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 24.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Kelp DAO bridge exploit on April 19, 2026, in which an attacker drained approximately $292M in rsETH via a LayerZero cross-chain messaging vulnerability, leaving rsETH holders on L2 networks with impaired backing. This market will resolve "Yes" if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Kelp DAO has announced or implemented a mechanism to socialize the losses that resulted from this exploit. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". “Socialize the losses” means rsETH holders on mainnet share and absorb part or all of the exploit losses, rather than L2 holders bearing them entirely. The primary resolution source will be official communications from Kelp DAO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kelp-socialize-the-losses
| ra5tadark | Yes | 174 |
| hardyu | Yes | 100 |
| 0xzitu | Yes | 99.99 |
| tonkawa | Yes | 96.83 |
| Curio1 | Yes | 93.29 |
| SilverVortex2 | Yes | 67.01 |
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