Analytics
tonkawa is down $79.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $47.75 | +$0.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 01:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 07:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 07:29 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 01:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $213.27 and losing ones cost $139.37 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $43.1 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $24 on “Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?” (Yes).
It has traded 141 markets. Its open positions are worth $217.97 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.890 |
| $44 |
| -$0.5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.959 | $38.52 | +$0.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.84 | +$1.05 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.963 | $19.69 | +$0.43 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.946 | $18.88 | -$0.04 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $18.4 | +$1.6 |
 Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.62 | +$1.02 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.051 | $0.55 | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.076 | $0.4 | -$7.2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50 | $0.096 | $0.33 | -$4.48 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
