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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.35 |
| $0.230 |
| $1 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 147.03 | $0.593 | $87.19 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 42.63 | $0.704 | $30 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 37.65 | $0.620 | $23.34 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 175.11 | $0.630 | $110.32 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | sell | 411.04 | $0.335 | $137.7 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.962 | $25.99 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 160.84 | $0.291 | $46.77 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 181.16 | $0.276 | $50 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Will Biden resign before inauguration?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.284 | $17.04 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 242.71 | $0.281 | $68.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 165.15 | $0.537 | $88.69 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 149.48 | $0.669 | $100 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 242.72 | $0.412 | $100 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.67 | $0.638 | $10 | Oct 26, 2024 |