Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.991 | $1.63 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.12 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.95 |
| Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.978 | $1.89 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.920 | $1.6 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.982 | $1.98 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.834 | $1.69 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.700 | $1.48 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.994 | $1.95 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Kenny Atkinson win NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.690 | $1.4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.430 | $0.07 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will Kenny Atkinson win NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.600 | $1.22 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.470 | $0.6 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes | buy | 0.92 | $0.520 | $0.48 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.500 | $0.85 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.140 | $0.53 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.988 | $2.63 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.770 | $2.62 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.400 | $0.78 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.530 | $1.41 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.575 | $1.96 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | buy | 3.27 | $0.630 | $2.06 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 3.78 | $0.230 | $0.87 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.963 | $0.65 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 2.3 | $0.160 | $0.37 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | sell | 0.81 | $0.982 | $0.8 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.996 | $0.84 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.600 | $0.41 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.290 | $0.73 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 0.82 | $0.830 | $0.68 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.67 | $0.970 | $0.65 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.006 | $0.32 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.130 | $0.3 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 0.84 | $0.820 | $0.69 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia TechGeorgia Tech | buy | 2.6 | $0.200 | $0.52 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Hill vs. RicciHill | buy | 1.55 | $0.470 | $0.73 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Southampton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.290 | $0.44 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City beat Ipswich Town?Yes | buy | 0.49 | $0.910 | $0.45 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 0.95 | $0.220 | $0.21 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Brighton beat Manchester United?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.400 | $0.52 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.170 | $1.21 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.740 | $1.24 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 5.38 | $0.330 | $1.78 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 6.14K | $0.001 | $6.14 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 7.24K | $0.001 | $7.24 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.001 | $0.8 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will another man be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 7.93K | $0.001 | $7.93 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 226.59 | $0.001 | $0.23 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.770 | $1.3 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.360 | $1.94 | Aug 1, 2024 |