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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.797 | $1.43K | -$22.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.880 | $1.06K | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.2K |
| $0.880 |
| $1.01K |
| -$42 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $44.5 | -$5.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.500 |
| $50 |
| 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.797 | $1.41K | 3d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.390 | $507 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.757 | $378.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 740 | $0.933 | $690.11 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?No | buy | 740 | $0.057 | $42.15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.900 | $99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.730 | $102.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 922 | $0.760 | $700.72 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.054 | $108 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.740 | $1.11K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.700 | $1.05K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes | buy | 487.44 | $0.950 | $463.07 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.870 | $1.04K | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.981 | $1.08K | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.964 | $289.31 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?No | buy | 339.02 | $0.943 | $319.69 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | buy | 146 | $0.959 | $140.06 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.972 | $971.51 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.900 | $990 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 174 | $0.730 | $127.02 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 126 | $0.750 | $94.5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.780 | $234 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 420.87 | $0.070 | $29.42 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.930 | $1.02K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.935 | $1.03K | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 1K | $0.760 | $760 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.720 | $720 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | buy | 193 | $0.900 | $173.7 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?No | buy | 181.05 | $0.930 | $168.38 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.860 | $1.55K | Nov 26, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 500 | $0.947 | $473.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1K | $0.947 | $947 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Elon Musk arrested in 2024?No | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 500 | $0.980 | $490 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 500 | $0.790 | $395 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 148.89 | $0.770 | $114.65 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.982 | $1.47K | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1K | $0.965 | $965 | Oct 25, 2024 |