Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$902.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 21 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.8%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2025 to 21 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.8% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 93.8% on 21 Jun 2026. $902.81K traded over the market's life.

236 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 7:56 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 7 Dec 2025 – 21 Jun 2026, chart shows 60%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Dec 2025	78.5%
21 Jun 2026	93.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	86.52K
leegunner	No	42.77K
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD	No	42.05K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.