Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 375.3 | $0.666 | $307.74 | +$57.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 275.06 | $0.364 | $100 | 19d ago |
 |
| No |
| 240.79 |
| $0.893 |
| $233.2 |
| +$18.2 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 315.87 | $0.317 | $172.15 | +$72.15 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 275.06 | $0.363 | $54.46 | -$45.54 |
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | Yes | 257.07 | $0.389 | $2.57 | -$97.43 |
| buy |
| 257.07 |
| $0.389 |
| $100 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 878.51 | $0.417 | $366.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.540 | $63.53 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 156.86 | $0.948 | $148.62 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 148.15 | $0.135 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 156.86 | $0.255 | $40 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 315.87 | $0.317 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 878.51 | $0.455 | $400 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada | buy | 92.86 | $0.420 | $39 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.240 | $34.28 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 775.65 | $0.140 | $108.59 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 375.3 | $0.666 | $250 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 64.71 | $0.340 | $22 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.630 | $60 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 113.21 | $0.106 | $12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 50.89 | $0.648 | $33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.09 | $0.579 | $77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.510 | $60 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevFlavio Cobolli | buy | 260.87 | $0.230 | $60 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMaja Chwalinska | buy | 310.53 | $0.190 | $59 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 840.29 | $0.280 | $235.28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.409 | $420 | May 23, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 242 | $0.390 | $94.38 | May 23, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 242 | $0.500 | $121 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 590 | $0.300 | $177 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Alvin Kamara be traded?Yes | sell | 155.02 | $0.022 | $3.35 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 2.63K | $0.046 | $121.11 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.47K | $0.086 | $212.58 | May 12, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.123 | $239.51 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.080 | $104 | May 12, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.120 | $234.5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 577.59 | $0.580 | $335 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.290 | $290 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes | sell | 154.35 | $0.760 | $117.31 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes | sell | 126.08 | $0.440 | $55.48 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.053 | $140 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.270 | $270 | May 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 362.06 | $0.509 | $184.38 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.120 | $469 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.089 | $220 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 775.18 | $0.260 | $201.55 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 138.15 | $0.562 | $77.64 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 285.87 | $0.324 | $92.62 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 337.5 | $0.700 | $236.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |