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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 105.35 | $0.355 | $86.92 | +$49.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20.53 |
| $0.750 |
| $20.11 |
| +$4.71 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | $0.370 | $11.38 | +$6.57 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 8.8 | $0.541 | $3.45 | -$1.31 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.530 | $2.2 | +$0.85 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 4.11 | $0.380 | $1.23 | -$0.33 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.34 | $0.700 | $1.04 | -$4.8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 10.44 | $0.140 | $0.3 | -$1.16 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.230 | $0.08 | -$2.45 |
| buy |
| 2.55 |
| $0.530 |
| $1.35 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.486 | $2.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.472 | $2.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.519 | $2.43 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.1 | $0.820 | $2.54 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Yes | buy | 1.78 | $0.944 | $1.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet | buy | 4 | $0.300 | $1.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.500 | $1.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.140 | $1.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.140 | $1.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.900 | $2.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.240 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.759 | $4.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 9.31 | $0.880 | $8.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesNuno Borges | buy | 11.96 | $0.750 | $8.97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No | buy | 26.5 | $0.300 | $7.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.541 | $4.76 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.538 | $1.89 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.879 | $1.79 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.700 | $4.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.700 | $3.65 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.940 | $3.76 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.890 | $3.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.25 | $0.990 | $15.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.460 | $2.35 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.550 | $3.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaKatarzyna Kawa | buy | 18.77 | $0.470 | $8.82 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.669 | $5.88 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.350 | $2.38 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 23.5 | $0.140 | $3.29 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 111.73 | $0.150 | $16.76 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.810 | $4.41 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 1.24 | $0.922 | $1.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.915 | $1.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)Alberto Montes | buy | 39.64 | $0.420 | $16.65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | buy | 19.53 | $0.599 | $11.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.209 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.600 | $6.3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.986 | $3.08 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)Alberto Montes | buy | 61.87 | $0.450 | $27.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.398 | $1.92 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.398 | $1.96 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 52.41 | $0.582 | $30.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.180 | $1.53 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.460 | $1.41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.460 | $1.41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |