Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.046 | $0.2 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.77 |
| $0.530 |
| $2 |
| Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.350 | $2.28 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Solana above $135 on July 12?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.560 | $1.4 | Jul 5, 2024 |
 Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.445 | $9 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Solana above $140 on July 5?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.250 | $0.34 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.481 | $3 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Will another person be next UK prime minister?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.112 | $0.37 | Jun 27, 2024 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.005 | $0 | Jun 26, 2024 |
 Will Netherlands win Group D?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 24, 2024 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.019 | $0.5 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Another largest company on June 21?Yes | buy | 150.27 | $0.002 | $0.37 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $65,000 on June 21?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 19, 2024 |
| Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >100M views by Friday?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 14, 2024 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 Trump conviction declared a mistrial?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >100M views by Friday?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 NVIDIA largest company before June 15?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 Israel election called before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jun 14, 2024 |
 Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 14, 2024 |